IPAM

The percentage of users of google's websites accessing via IPv6 has reached 8% for the first time last week, essentially doubling up the percentage from only a bit more than a year ago. It was then, a year ago that I had last blogged about predicting future IPv6 adoption trends based on "curve fitting" historical measurements. At that time, the predictions for the end of 2014 indicated 6.2% for the exponential growth model, while the polynomial model predicted 5.6%. The actual measurement was 5.7%. As illustrated in the graph below with curve fits based on the most recent data, the exponential curve, the top (green) curve is certainly the most ambitious as it was last year. It predicts the percentage of IPv6 users accessing google's sites at 11.4% by the end of this year and over 25% by the end of next. Meanwhile the polynomial curve fits are more conservative predicting 8-9% by the end of this year and 12-15% by the end of next. While IPv6 adoption growth has...